Acutis CapitalInvestment Research

Acutis Capital

Macro Signals Dashboard

Financial conditions, trend, risk appetite and cross-asset selection — one screen, weekly refresh.

As of
2 Oct 2026
Equities: Hybrid regimeBitcoin: Risk on regime

Latest updates

Recent changes to market signals and portfolio positioning

1 Oct 2026
  1. 1 Oct 2026
    Low volatility portfolio introduced — hybrid regime cash raise

    The triple asset class portfolio is replaced by a Low volatility portfolio: 40% XLK, 10% SMH, 10% BTC, 30% GOLD and 10% XLU. With the regime in Hybrid, risk is reduced by cutting the higher-risk assets (XLK, SMH, BTC) by 25% and halving GOLD and XLU while their trend gauges are negative — the portfolio now holds 30% XLK, 7.5% SMH, 7.5% BTC, 15% GOLD, 5% XLU and 35% cash.

  2. 30 Sep 2026
    Financial conditions turn negative — portfolios raise 25% cash

    The financial-conditions gauge fell to −0.44 (from +0.21), moving into "Tight" territory. In response, all three portfolios reduced risk and raised a 25% cash reserve: Single now holds 75% BTC, Dual holds 30% equities / 45% BTC, and Triple holds 30% equities / 37% BTC / 8% gold.

Macro conditions

Financial conditions & risk appetite

Financial conditions
Tight
-0.63
Conditions z-score (−3 to +3)
−3−10+1+3
Previous score
-0.44
Rate of change
-0.19 pts
Last updated 2 Oct 2026
Risk on / risk off

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Global liquidity

Global liquidity

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Bitcoin

Trend & on-chain health

Bitcoin

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Bitcoin on-chain
On-chain activity & network health score
+0.67
On-chain score (−1 to +1)
−10+1
Previous score
+0.88
Rate of change
-0.21 pts
Last updated 2 Oct 2026

Trend

Trend strength z-scores

Bullish
S&P 500 (SPY) trend
+1.83
S&P 500 (SPY) trend z-score
−3−10+1+3
Previous score
+1.20
Rate of change
+0.63 pts
Last updated 2 Oct 2026
Gold (GLD) trend
-1.54
Gold (GLD) trend z-score
−3−10+1+3
Previous score
-0.75
Rate of change
-0.79 pts
Last updated 2 Oct 2026
Defensives (XLU) trend

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